What are your chances of living to 100?

January 28, 2016   //   No Comments

One in three of today’s babies will live to see their 100th birthday, according to latest estimates by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). In 2016 there are estimated to be 783,000 babies under one year old and the latest projection suggests that 248,400 of these will live to see their 100th birthday, that’s one in every three.  However, if they plan to party with fellow centenarians in 2116 it’s not likely the celebration will have an equal split of men and women. That’s because baby girls are more likely to reach 100 than baby boys – 35.2% of today’s baby girls are expected to reach 100, compared with 28.4% of today’s baby boys.

The ONS website offers an online calculator to work out your chance of living to 100, based on the year of your birth and your sex.  The younger you are today, the more likely you are to reach 100. This is because of improvements in healthcare and changes in lifestyle – such as the decline in the number of people who smoke.  It is also assumed that improvements will continue. This means babies born in 2016 are more likely to make it to 100 than people who were born in 1936 (aged 80 in 2016).

Another interesting statistic is the increase in the number of centenarians.  The ONS state that the estimated number of centenarians has more than quadrupled from 3,000 in 1983 to 14,500 in 2016.

The ONS report and online calculator may be found here.